Visa Bulletin

[ikac89]

Da mi je neko pričao posle izvlačenja da će ovako da bude, ne bih mu verovao. Ubeđen sam bio da je moj broj (26xxx), ne 100%, nego 1000% bezbedan. Sada više nisam siguran i iskreno pokušavam da ne razmišljam o mogućnosti da ne stignem na red.

[Ggaga]

Vi koji iscekujete ne bila vam u kozi!Stvarno katastrofalan napredak bulletina!Drzim vam fige svima da prodjete do kraja.Mi smo bili 10xxx i sad shvatam kolika je to bila sreca pored samog dobitka na lutriji.

[Svenson]

Prvobitno poslao korisnik ikac89

Da mi je neko pričao posle izvlačenja da će ovako da bude, ne bih mu verovao. Ubeđen sam bio da je moj broj (26xxx), ne 100%, nego 1000% bezbedan. Sada više nisam siguran i iskreno pokušavam da ne razmišljam o mogućnosti da ne stignem na red.

Do 27000 svi stižu, ali biće, kao što reče predak Paje patka: "Za dlaku šinko"

[Makica@]

Da vam svima pozelim Srecu da stignete na red,bas mi je zao sto je ovoliko ukocilo,a bas sam ocekivala veci skok biltena. Mnogo bi mi bilo drago da vam se svima ostvare snovi i da odete na intervjuu i pozelenite. Nemojte da gubite nadu samo

[Leksi]

Ja sam tek 29 xxx,i baš sam se smorila,izgubila sam svaku nadu,mislim zaista je jedino gore od toga da te ne izvuku,jeste da te izvuku i da ne stigneš na red.

[Svenson]

Gledao sam biltene ranijih godina. Stignu do 22-24 hiljade, a onda status postane "current". Mislim da ne treba gubiti nadu. Možda je velika rupa nakon 20000, pa će slati svima

[ikac89]

BritSimon o progresu u Evropi.

For Europe there is obviously a big disappointment coming for many people. I was sure we were going to see numbers in the 30’s. I really don’t think that will happen now. We have been used to EU doing very well, and I was hopeful this year would see a good high number. However, I am more and more certain that we are going to see a shockingly low VB number. Why? Well we can look at two things to estimate remaining progress. The month to month pace (based on embassy capacity etc), and the progress toward the quota (18300).

First, the pace. KCC reduced the pace in terms of the number of “real” case numbers since March. The VBs for April, May and now June interviews have only made 1070 to 1200 new real cases current. By the time we take response rate into account that means they are setting interviews for ~600 to ~750 new cases each month (plus another 150 to 200 from “backlog” cases each month.

So how about the quota? From that pace we would only expect to see around 1200 to 1500 visas issued each month (approximately!). However, that will probably get close to the quota even at that pace, because there are 10500 visas issued already leaving about 7500 to 8000 visas left (and 5.5 months of processing). So – the pace seems to suggest that KCC believe they are on track to meet the quota with existing pace (similar to what we saw in the last 3 VBs).

So – at the current density (which remains static until high 30’s) we could see VB increases of around 2500 a month (give or take a couple of hundred). That would get us to about 28000 or even a little less. That could happen. We would need to see increases of more than 3000 to get over 30000 – but there is not much evidence to hint at that increase in pace. So – I think a final number in the high 20’s is very likely. I have been responding “wait and see” to high cases in the 20’s for around a month now. I was hoping the VB today would dispel the fears. It didn’t.

Again – the data is available for all – please feel free to retain your own hope – I cannot be certain what will happen. Feel free to disagree with me and form your own opinion. Really – all we can do is wait and see how this rollercoaster will end. I fully realize the dreams people have based on this lottery. Best of luck to you all for your own cases – but please do show some sensitivity for the many people who want and deserve this opportunity just as much as you do – and perhaps are behind you in the line.

[Leksi]

Trebala sam ja igrati opet,baš sam se zeznula,ali baš bi me izvukli opet.Nisam ni sanjala da će ove godine ovako sporije ići,prošlih godina je bilo drugačije.

Ma šta bude biće,da se nadam više neću,biću otvorena za opciju da neću stići na red.

[ikac89]

Nada umire poslednja. U februaru je skok bio 3100, neka se ponove takva tri meseca i lagano se stiže do 30.000. Što bi se sportskim rečnikom reklo, nije kraj sve dok ga sudija ne odsvira.

[Katleja Liki]

Prvobitno poslao korisnik Leksi

Trebala sam ja igrati opet,baš sam se zeznula,ali baš bi me izvukli opet.Nisam ni sanjala da će ove godine ovako sporije ići,prošlih godina je bilo drugačije.

Ma šta bude biće,da se nadam više neću,biću otvorena za opciju da neću stići na red.

"Nista nije gotovo, dok stvarno nije gotovo", tako nekako se kaze, a definitivno sve je gotovo tek 30.09.2018. Preostala su jos 3 mjeseca i niko ne moze da predvidi sta se sve moze desiti, samo moze da nagadja. Ja ipak vjerujem, sve dok postoji i 1% nade, da se treba nadati.
Dogadjaji sa malom vjerovatnocom ostvarenja se desavaju, pravi primjer je dobitak na zelenoj lutriji, tako da jos nista nije gotovo.